Still Waiting for 1% Mortgage Rates? Here's Why They’re Not Coming Back

Melody Salisbury
Sep 1
2 min read

Why the Era of Ultra-Low Interest Rates is Over.

During the pandemic, Canadian homeowners saw something rare—five-year fixed mortgage rates under 2%. For many, this was a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to secure ultra-low borrowing costs. But if you're hoping those rates will return, economists now agree: they're not coming back.

Rates that low were an emergency response to a global crisis. As inflation surged and the economy rebounded, the Bank of Canada had to pivot. With strong job numbers, ongoing government spending, and elevated inflation, we're now in a higher-rate environment that's expected to stick around.

What’s Keeping Rates Higher for Longer?

Several factors are working together to keep rates elevated, even as inflation shows signs of cooling:

Persistent Inflation: Inflation remains above the BoC’s 2% target, keeping rate cuts limited.
Global Volatility: Energy prices, supply chain costs, and global uncertainty all play a role in driving up borrowing costs.
Tight Labour Market: Canada’s job market continues to show strength, reducing the urgency for major rate cuts.
Government Policies: Federal and provincial spending, especially in housing and infrastructure, puts added pressure on inflation.

For homeowners and buyers, this means adapting to a new normal.

How to Navigate Higher Mortgage Rates

Whether you're renewing soon, looking to buy, or exploring real estate as an investment, here’s how to move forward strategically:

✅ Re-evaluate Your Budget: With rates expected to remain in the 4–6% range, adjusting your expectations is key.

✅ Secure a Pre-Approval: Locking in a rate now can protect you from sudden increases, especially if you’re buying this fall.

✅ Explore Variable and Hybrid Options: If you expect rates to trend down over time, certain mortgage products can offer more flexibility.

✅ Work With a Mortgage Professional: Every lender is different. A mortgage broker can help you compare multiple offers and tailor a strategy that works for your timeline and goals.

Coming Off a Pandemic-Era Rate?

If you secured a mortgage in 2020 or 2021, your renewal may bring a payment shock. Take action now:

Request a Renewal Review: Don’t automatically accept your lender’s first offer.
Consider Refinancing: Extending your amortization or consolidating debts could create breathing room.
Compare Lender Offers: Better options may be available outside your current bank.

Final Thoughts

The window for ultra-low rates has closed, but that doesn’t mean good opportunities are gone. The right mortgage strategy can still save you money and support your long-term goals—especially when tailored to current market conditions.